1
Gouttes De Dieu
3yo Gelding · 9-6
Chantilly · Prix Du Roi Des Manuscrits Handicap · 5f 212y
#14
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +3.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Deauville | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Chantilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength92%
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 11/10/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 06/03/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 02/04/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 79% | -0.00 |
| 26/04/2026 | 15th | 22/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 21/05/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 11/06/2026 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 12/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 15/08/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |