14
Permenton
8yo Gelding · 8-8
Chantilly · Prix Du Roi Des Manuscrits Handicap · 5f 212y
#3
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Le Touquet | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Chantilly | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Chantilly | 3 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2025-10-17 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength50%
Delivery trend +6.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 01/09/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 02/10/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 17/10/2025 | 13th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 26/03/2026 | 15th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/04/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 12/05/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 71% | +0.66 |
| 12/06/2026 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 16/08/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 89% | +0.63 |