5
Snow Ghost
5yo Gelding · 9-5
Chantilly · Prix Du Roi Des Manuscrits Handicap · 5f 212y
#13
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Deauville | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | Deauville | 2 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-12-18 | Deauville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-26 | Deauville | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-03 | Fontainebleau | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-14 | Chantilly | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 2-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength43%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 27/06/2025 | 10th | 17/2 | 55% | 31% | -0.24 |
| 20/09/2025 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 14/10/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 03/11/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 64% | -0.04 |
| 26/11/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 18/12/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 73% | +0.13 |
| 30/01/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 25/08/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |