3

Soif De Vivre

4yo Gelding · 9-5

Chantilly · Prix Du Roi Des Manuscrits Handicap · 5f 212y

#1

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

89%

Place Prob

67%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength25%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Fontainebleau 06/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 5f102y Sft 1286/0343 @ Fontainebleau 17/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 1283 @ Chantilly 14/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 12214/0433 @ Compiegne 25/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 122C0 @ Chantilly 12/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 12412/05C?3 @ Saint-Cloud 29/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1323 @ Dieppe 23/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 5f102y GS 12123/063C0 @ Dieppe 13/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 5f102y Sft 1233 @ Deauville 22/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Ver 12022/083projClass-projected finish: 1st of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Deauville31st1st0
2026-07-13Dieppe?2nd2nd0
2026-06-23Dieppe33rd3rd0
2026-05-29Saint-Cloud39th9th0
2026-05-12Chantilly?1st1st0
2026-04-25Compiegne32nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0325/0423/0622/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength66%

Delivery trend -2.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/03/20261st11/142%100%+0.58
17/03/20267th13/266%60%-0.06
14/04/20262nd13/266%92%+0.26
25/04/20262nd5/174%92%+0.18
12/05/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
29/05/20269th8/158%27%-0.31
23/06/20263rd10/147%87%+0.39
13/07/20262nd2/189%92%+0.02
22/08/20261st7/282%100%+0.18