Alparslan
4yo Gelding · 8-13
Chantilly · Prix De La Galerie De La Peinture Handicap · 5f 212y
#11
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 6.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Dieppe | 2 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-04-30 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 16th | 15th | +1 |
| 2026-04-14 | Chantilly | 2 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-03-17 | Fontainebleau | 2 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-12-18 | Deauville | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 03/11/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 22/11/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 18/12/2025 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 17/03/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 64% | -0.15 |
| 14/04/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 53% | -0.07 |
| 30/04/2026 | 16th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/06/2026 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |