8

Damn Precious

3yo Colt · 8-13

Chantilly · Prix De La Galerie De La Peinture Handicap · 5f 212y

#5

Rank

Odds

35/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Saint-Cloud 09/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 7f100y Sft 1289/11C5C5 @ Compiegne 27/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 128C5 @ Compiegne 25/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 12825/04C5C0 @ ParisLongchamp 21/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 124C5 @ Dieppe 06/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 5f102y Sft 1286/06C5C0 @ Deauville 12/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 124C0 @ Deauville 15/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 12015/08C?1 @ Deauville 30/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Hvy 142 · HIGHER CLASS30/081projClass-projected finish: 8th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Deauville16th4th+2
2026-08-15Deauville?11th11th0
2026-07-12Deauville?1st1st0
2026-06-06Dieppe?7th9th2
2026-05-21ParisLongchamp?10th10th0
2026-04-25Compiegne?7th9th2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/1121/0515/0830/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 5-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength6%

Delivery trend -5.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/11/20252nd28/10%83%+0.83
27/03/20267th15/261%25%-0.36
25/04/20267th25/10%45%+0.45
21/05/202610th33/10%40%+0.40
06/06/20267th18/15%33%+0.28
12/07/20261st20/10%100%+1.00
15/08/202611th14/126%29%+0.02
30/08/20266th10/382%55%-0.28