8

Damn Precious
3yo Colt · 8-13
Chantilly · Prix De La Galerie De La Peinture Handicap · 5f 212y
#5
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Deauville | 1 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-08-15 | Deauville | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Dieppe | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-05-21 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Compiegne | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 5-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength6%
Delivery trend -5.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/2025 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 27/03/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 25/04/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 21/05/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 12/07/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 15/08/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 30/08/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 55% | -0.28 |