14
Garris
4yo Gelding · 8-11
Chantilly · Prix De La Galerie De La Peinture Handicap · 5f 212y
#2
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength14%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Deauville | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-15 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-03-23 | Mont De Marsan | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength58%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 22/01/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 20/02/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 64% | +0.58 |
| 23/03/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 11/04/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 69% | +0.17 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 87% | +0.60 |
| 15/06/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 05/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 78% | +0.07 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |