3
Rozarion
3yo Colt · 9-4
Chantilly · Prix De La Galerie De La Peinture Handicap · 5f 212y
#13
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength15%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +3.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Deauville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-16 | Chantilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Chantilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Chantilly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength69%
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 21/07/2025 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 10/01/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 45% | -0.07 |
| 05/02/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 19/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 16/03/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 93% | +0.38 |
| 26/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 93% | +0.20 |
| 11/06/2026 | 8th | 2/1 | 89% | 46% | -0.43 |
| 15/08/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 86% | +0.30 |