4

Sky Dream

3yo Filly · 9-4

Chantilly · Prix De La Galerie De La Peinture Handicap · 5f 212y

#4

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Saint-Cloud 29/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12829/03C5C5 @ Le Mans 21/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 12821/04C5C0 @ ParisLongchamp 11/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12711/06C?C0 @ Deauville 12/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 12912/07C?C0 @ Deauville 15/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 13115/08C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Deauville?1st1st0
2026-07-12Deauville?2nd2nd0
2026-06-11ParisLongchamp?4th4th0
2026-04-21Le Mans?4th6th2
2026-03-29Saint-Cloud?10th12th2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0321/0411/0612/0715/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend -6.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/03/202610th22/10%31%+0.31
21/04/20264th16/116%77%+0.61
11/06/20264th16/116%77%+0.61
12/07/20262nd15/261%93%+0.33
15/08/20261st5/287%100%+0.13