2
Torpen
9yo Gelding · 9-6
Chantilly · Prix De La Galerie De La Peinture Handicap · 5f 212y
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-26 | Deauville | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Chantilly | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-14 | Chantilly | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength36%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/2025 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 03/08/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 16/08/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 60% | -0.06 |
| 07/09/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 92% | +0.13 |
| 20/09/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 14/10/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 08/11/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 69% | +0.43 |
| 26/11/2025 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 53% | +0.11 |
| 27/08/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |