15
Wild West
6yo Horse · 8-11
Chantilly · Prix De La Galerie De La Peinture Handicap · 5f 212y
#7
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength40%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Deauville | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Deauville | 2 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Dieppe | 2 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-11 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Nantes | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-11 | Nantes | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 2-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength54%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/01/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 33% | -0.22 |
| 27/02/2026 | 16th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/04/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 11/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 93% | +0.41 |
| 29/05/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 11/06/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 13/07/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 79% | +0.21 |
| 02/08/2026 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 22/08/2026 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 27% | +0.00 |