7
Air De Samba
4yo Filly · 8-9
Chantilly · Prix Des Tres Riches Heures Du Duc De Berry Handicap · 5f 212y
#12
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 8.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Le Mans | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-08-09 | Deauville | 4 | 12th | 13th | −1 |
| 2026-07-26 | Le Touquet | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-16 | Compiegne | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 2-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength32%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2026 | 13th | 8/1 | 58% | 8% | -0.50 |
| 03/05/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 43% | +0.38 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 69% | +0.11 |
| 12/06/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 42% | -0.06 |
| 05/07/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 92% | +0.77 |
| 16/07/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 38% | -0.30 |
| 26/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 92% | +0.15 |
| 09/08/2026 | 12th | 4/1 | 79% | 8% | -0.71 |
| 11/09/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |