13
Denver Chop
6yo Horse · 8-2
Chantilly · Prix Des Tres Riches Heures Du Duc De Berry Handicap · 5f 212y
#3
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 12.2 /10 (raw 7.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Dieppe | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-08-09 | Deauville | 4 | 13th | 14th | −1 |
| 2026-05-26 | Evreux | 4 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Le Croise-Laroche | 4 | 12th | 13th | −1 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 14th | 15th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 5-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength33%
Delivery trend +5.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 10/09/2025 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 03/11/2025 | 15th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 24/04/2026 | 14th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 12/05/2026 | 15th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 17/05/2026 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 21% | -0.15 |
| 26/05/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 30% | +0.14 |
| 09/08/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/08/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |