12
Hematite
4yo Filly · 8-6
Chantilly · Prix Des Tres Riches Heures Du Duc De Berry Handicap · 5f 212y
#7
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲5732
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6887.4 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5735.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -5732.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Dieppe | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-21 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Vichy | 4 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | 4 | 13th | 14th | −1 |
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | 34392 | 13th | 41280th | −34389 |
| 2026-07-01 | Nantes | 4 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength50%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 19/03/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 05/06/2026 | 16th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/07/2026 | 11th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 12/07/2026 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 21/07/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 06/08/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 27% | +0.22 |
| 21/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 09/09/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 90% | +0.53 |