8
Hur Cat
9yo Gelding · 8-8
Chantilly · Prix Des Tres Riches Heures Du Duc De Berry Handicap · 5f 212y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength18%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-08-24 | Dieppe | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-12 | Vichy | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Vichy | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-18 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength69%
Delivery trend -5.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 17/05/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 29/05/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 18/06/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 42% | +0.26 |
| 05/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 24/07/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 92% | +0.65 |
| 12/08/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 24/08/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 03/09/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |