3
King Return
4yo Colt · 9-5
Chantilly · Prix Des Tres Riches Heures Du Duc De Berry Handicap · 5f 212y
#13
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Dieppe | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-07-26 | Le Touquet | 4 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Compiegne | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Evreux | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Le Croise-Laroche | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 5-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength36%
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 14/04/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 42% | -0.16 |
| 20/04/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 82% | +0.08 |
| 17/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.17 |
| 26/05/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 55% | -0.03 |
| 05/06/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 09/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 26/07/2026 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 09/09/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |