4

Michelangelo

6yo Gelding · 9-3

Chantilly · Prix Des Tres Riches Heures Du Duc De Berry Handicap · 5f 212y

#10

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 7.2)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Chantilly 02/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 4f213y Hvy 1272/0433 @ Chantilly 14/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 1284 @ Le Croise-Laroche 17/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 5f102y Gd 13617/054C0 @ ParisLongchamp 07/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1193 @ Chantilly 19/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Std 12319/0634 @ Vichy 20/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1313 @ Deauville 13/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 6f101y Sft 12813/0833 @ Clairefontaine 21/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Ver 1283 @ ParisLongchamp 10/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12410/093projClass-projected finish: 6th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10ParisLongchamp312th12th0
2026-08-21Clairefontaine36th6th0
2026-08-13Deauville37th7th0
2026-07-20Vichy42nd3rd1
2026-06-19Chantilly310th10th0
2026-06-07ParisLongchamp?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/047/0613/0810/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 11-14 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -3.2% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/04/202612th33/10%8%+0.08
14/04/202611th22/10%33%+0.33
17/05/202613th9/153%14%-0.38
07/06/20269th28/10%43%+0.43
19/06/202610th40/10%10%+0.10
20/07/20262nd8/158%93%+0.35
13/08/20267th6/168%57%-0.11
21/08/20266th9/276%55%-0.22
10/09/202612th12/137%27%-0.10