5
Red Gust
4yo Gelding · 9-2
Chantilly · Prix Des Tres Riches Heures Du Duc De Berry Handicap · 5f 212y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Dieppe | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-08-09 | Deauville | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-23 | Dieppe | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Dieppe | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Chantilly | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength71%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2025 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 29/01/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/02/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 17/03/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 14/04/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |
| 06/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 23/06/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 09/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 24/08/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 73% | -0.17 |