9
The Dig
7yo Gelding · 8-8
Chantilly · Prix Des Tres Riches Heures Du Duc De Berry Handicap · 5f 212y
#8
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Vichy | 4 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Salon-De-Provence | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Chantilly | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 3-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength42%
Delivery trend -4.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10/2025 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 26/11/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 18/12/2025 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 87% | +0.31 |
| 17/03/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 14/04/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 73% | -0.06 |
| 25/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 17/06/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 24/07/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 42% | +0.36 |
| 03/09/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |