8
Flamme Fatale
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 38
Charles Town · Race 1 - Claiming · 4f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-07-11 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-06-07 | Charles Town | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-04-27 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-03-02 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/2023 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 18/11/2023 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 30/01/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 02/03/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 27/04/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 07/06/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 11/07/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 18/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 16/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |