Hellenic Spirit
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 49
Charles Town · Race 1 - Claiming · 4f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-26 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-02-05 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -14.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 26/03/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 63% | -0.23 |
| 31/07/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |