Saucy Boss
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 52
Charles Town · Race 1 - Claiming · 4f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Charles Town | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-05-08 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |
| 25/03/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 04/04/2026 | 4th | 2/5 | 98% | 25% | -0.73 |
| 08/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/05/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 01/08/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 23/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |