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7

Foolish Rabbit

3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 55

Charles Town · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f

#2

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

49%

Place Prob

38%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength22%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Charles Town 31/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 54 · 4f110y Gd 122 · beat its mark31/10/2025 · OR 54 par31/10C6OR 54C6 @ Charles Town 19/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 47 · 4f110y 120 · beat its mark19/04/2026 · OR 47 parC6 @ Charles Town 08/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 47 · 4f110y Fas 122 · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 47 par8/05C6OR 47C6 @ Charles Town 30/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 46 · 4f110y 120 · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 46 parC6 @ Charles Town 13/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 50 · 4f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 50 par13/06C6OR 50C6 @ Charles Town 04/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 49 · 7f Fas 120 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 49 parC6 @ Charles Town 17/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 53 · 6f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 53 par17/07C6OR 53C6 @ Charles Town 07/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 51 · 7f Slo 121 · beat its mark07/08/2026 · OR 51 parC6 @ Charles Town 22/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 55 · 7f 121 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 55 par22/08C6OR 55projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Charles Town?2nd2nd0
2026-08-07Charles Town?2nd2nd0
2026-07-17Charles Town?6th6th0
2026-07-04Charles Town?5th5th0
2026-06-13Charles Town?7th7th0
2026-05-30Charles Town?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/1030/0517/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/10/20256th7/163%17%-0.46
19/04/20262nd7/163%83%+0.20
08/05/20265th12/137%50%+0.13
30/05/20263rd9/153%78%+0.25
13/06/20267th20/10%25%+0.25
04/07/20265th33/10%50%+0.50
17/07/20266th10/147%29%-0.19
07/08/20262nd12/137%86%+0.49
22/08/20262nd13/266%83%+0.18