1
Impulsive Spirit
2yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 82
Chester · Vault Money EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f 17y
#1
Rank
Odds
15/8
Win Prob
94%
Place Prob
78%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength30%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Salisbury | 1 | 8th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-08-18 | Chepstow | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 3-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength76%
Delivery trend -43.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 03/09/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |