3

Independent Roze

2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 49

Chester · Vault Money EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f 17y

#6

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Timeform

Commentary

Offered little in a trio of 6f novice/maidens. Well drawn but unlikely to be good enough to make any use of it.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Carlisle 24/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 5f182y GF 12824/0644 @ Chester 02/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 6f17y Gd 1282/0845 @ Chepstow 09/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 6f16y GF 1259/085
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-09Chepstow59th10th1
2026-08-02Chester45th5th0
2026-06-24Carlisle45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/062/089/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/06/20265th100/10%0%0.00
02/08/20265th300/10%0%0.00
09/08/20269th250/10%0%0.00