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4

Mollisha

2yo Filly · 9-2

Chester · Vault Money EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f 17y

#4

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Encouraging third of 14 in novice at Newcastle (6f) on debut 56 days ago, running on. Mixed messages from that form but she can be a factor if building on that.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newcastle 25/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 6f Sta 12525/074
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Newcastle43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-6 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/07/20263rd16/116%85%+0.69