7
Rhodes Runner
2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 71
Chester · Vault Money EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f 17y
#2
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Ffos Las | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Newmarket | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Doncaster | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Kempton | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Doncaster | 2 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength88%
Delivery trend +6.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/2026 | 4th | 1/1 | 95% | 40% | -0.55 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 02/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 08/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 27/08/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 07/09/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |