Absolute Diamond
2yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 66
Chester · John Smith's Nursery · 7f 1y
#1
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
82%
Place Prob
52%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Salisbury | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-29 | Chepstow | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Chepstow | 6 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-07-08 | Kempton | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-29 | Windsor | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-15 | Chepstow | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -12.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 29/06/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 70% | -0.01 |
| 08/07/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 24/07/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 11/09/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |