6
Crazy Cubana
2yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 69
Chester · John Smith's Nursery · 7f 1y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength77%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 9.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Kempton | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Goodwood | 2 | 17th | 13th | +3 |
| 2026-07-13 | Lingfield | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 19th | 14th | +4 |
| 2026-05-09 | Nottingham | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 11-11 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -17.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 19/06/2026 | 19th | 100/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 13/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 30/07/2026 | 17th | 50/1 | 0% | 6% | +0.06 |
| 05/09/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 29% | -0.14 |