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3

Koodini

2yo Colt · 9-5 · OR 71

Chester · John Smith's Nursery · 7f 1y

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

12%

Place Prob

20%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Off the mark at Catterick in July. Respectable fourth of 10 at Haydock 16 days ago, faring best of those ridden close up in strongly-run race, but he's got a tricky draw to contend with here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength83%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Chester 07/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 5f110y Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS7/0522 @ Chester 30/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 6f17y Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS2 @ Chester 12/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 6f17y GS 127 · HIGHER CLASS12/0625 @ Nottingham 25/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 70 · 6f18y Goo 133 · beat its mark25/06/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Nottingham 02/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 70 · 6f18y Goo 131 · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 70 par2/075OR 705 @ Catterick 22/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 69 · 7f6y GF 130 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 69 par2 @ York 20/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 18 · OR 74 · 7f GS 115 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 74 par20/082OR 745 @ Haydock 03/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 73 · 6f212y Sft 134 · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 73 par3/095OR 73projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Haydock54th4th0
2026-08-20York212th8th+3
2026-07-22Catterick51st1st0
2026-07-02Nottingham53rd3rd0
2026-06-25Nottingham52nd2nd0
2026-06-12Chester22nd-2th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0525/0620/083/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength90%

Delivery trend +5.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/05/20269th13/266%11%-0.55
30/05/202611th40/10%0%0.00
12/06/20262nd14/126%88%+0.61
25/06/20262nd16/583%86%+0.03
02/07/20263rd9/276%71%-0.05
22/07/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
20/08/202612th100/10%35%+0.35
03/09/20264th8/158%67%+0.09