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2

Persian Land

2yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 72

Chester · John Smith's Nursery · 7f 1y

#6

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won on debut in soft ground over 6f in May but has regressed since, finishing second of 9 in a seller at Salisbury 8 days ago. First-time cheekpieces now applied and stable also has another contender in the race.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength75%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.4
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Haydock 21/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 6f Sft 133 · HIGHER CLASS21/0543 @ Ffos Las 04/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 7f80y GS 137 · HIGHER CLASS4/0633 @ Beverley 16/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 7f96y Goo 137 · HIGHER CLASS16/0634 @ Southwell 27/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 78 · 6f16y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/08/2026 · OR 78 par27/084OR 784 @ Salisbury 11/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 75 · 6f213y Sft 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/09/2026 · OR 75 par11/094OR 75projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Salisbury42nd1st+1
2026-08-27Southwell47th6th+1
2026-06-16Beverley36th4th+2
2026-06-04Ffos Las32nd0th+2
2026-05-21Haydock41st0th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/054/0616/0627/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength21%

Delivery trend -13.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/05/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
04/06/20262nd7/491%75%-0.16
16/06/20266th8/158%17%-0.41
27/08/20267th22/10%0%0.00
11/09/20262nd9/488%88%-0.01