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9

Dunkeld Dreamer

3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 79

Chester · Destination2 Selling Stakes · 1m 2f 70y

#3

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Consistent sort who suggested she was still in form before failing for stamina when seventh in a handicap over 2m here 7 days ago in first-time cheekpieces. Back down in trip and grade and well berthed so she looks a player on these terms.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength58%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Haydock 25/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 76 · 1m37y Goo 126 · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 76 par25/044OR 764 @ Beverley 04/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 79 · 7f96y Goo 129 · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 79 par3 @ Hamilton 17/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 79 · 1m1f35y Gd 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 79 par17/053OR 793 @ Nottingham 31/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 79 · 1m2f50y Goo 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/05/2026 · OR 79 par3 @ York 13/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 79 · 1m3f188y Goo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 79 par13/063OR 794 @ Hamilton 11/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 81 · 1m5f16y Goo 125 · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 81 par2 @ York 21/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 81 · 1m2f56y GS 117 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 81 par21/082OR 813 @ Goodwood 30/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 80 · 1m3f44y Sft 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/08/2026 · OR 80 par2 @ Chester 12/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 79 · 1m7f196y Sft 114 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 79 par12/092OR 79projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Chester27th5th+2
2026-08-30Goodwood33rd2nd+1
2026-08-21York212th10th+2
2026-07-11Hamilton44th4th0
2026-06-13York31st0th+1
2026-05-31Nottingham34th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0431/0521/0812/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength54%

Delivery trend -4.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/04/20261st18/15%100%+0.95
04/05/20264th3/184%63%-0.22
17/05/20262nd15/890%86%-0.04
31/05/20264th7/282%50%-0.32
13/06/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
11/07/20264th13/891%25%-0.66
21/08/202612th25/10%15%+0.15
30/08/20263rd7/491%60%-0.31
12/09/20267th33/10%33%+0.33