3
Epictetus
6yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 81
Chester · Destination2 Selling Stakes · 1m 2f 70y
#9
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength44%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Epsom Downs | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Lingfield | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Sandown | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Lingfield | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Epsom Downs | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Sandown | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength65%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 30/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 12/06/2026 | 17th | 11/1 | 42% | 6% | -0.36 |
| 03/07/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 56% | -0.13 |
| 16/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 01/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 06/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 22/08/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.39 |
| 31/08/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |