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2

Let's Dream

5yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 88

Chester · Destination2 Selling Stakes · 1m 2f 70y

#2

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Twice a winner over C&D, most recently in May but has gone the wrong way since. Interesting on these terms dropped to selling company if bouncing back to form with good-value claimer taking over.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength58%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Chester 11/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 84 · 1m2f70y Gd 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/07/2025 · OR 84 par11/073OR 844 @ Chester 26/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 84 · 1m2f70y Goo 141 · beat its mark26/07/2025 · OR 84 par3 @ Chester 13/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 84 · 1m2f70y GS 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/09/2025 · OR 84 par13/093OR 844 @ York 11/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 19 · OR 83 · 1m2f56y Gd 136 · beat its mark11/10/2025 · OR 83 par3 @ Chester 07/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 89 · 1m2f70y Gd 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/05/2026 · OR 89 par7/053OR 892 @ Epsom Downs 05/06/2026 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR 92 · 1m2f17y Goo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 92 par3 @ Chester 10/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 92 · 1m2f70y Goo 142 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 92 par10/073OR 922 @ Southwell 06/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 91 · 1m3f24y Std 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 91 par3 @ York 06/09/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR 90 · 1m2f56y GS 137 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/09/2026 · OR 90 par6/093OR 90projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06York314th13th+1
2026-08-06Southwell210th8th+2
2026-07-10Chester37th6th+1
2026-06-05Epsom Downs214th12th+2
2026-05-07Chester31st0th+1
2025-10-11York41st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0711/1010/076/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength68%

Delivery trend -0.7% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/07/20252nd7/163%83%+0.20
26/07/20253rd15/890%75%-0.15
13/09/20258th5/174%22%-0.51
11/10/20251st14/126%100%+0.74
07/05/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
05/06/202614th25/10%13%+0.13
10/07/20267th11/142%14%-0.28
06/08/202610th14/126%18%-0.08
06/09/202614th28/10%7%+0.07