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11

Mayaada

3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 72

Chester · Destination2 Selling Stakes · 1m 2f 70y

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Coped with heavy going when fourth of 8 over 1½m at Beverley last month and is best excused recent eighth of 10 in a handicap over 8.5f at Epsom 9 days ago when poorly placed. Back up in trip and down in grade here but may find a couple too good.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength36%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Southwell 28/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 76 · 7f15y Std 131 · below its mark28/03/2026 · OR 76 par28/034OR 764 @ Epsom Downs 28/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 74 · 1m113y Gd 129 · beat its mark28/04/2026 · OR 74 par5 @ Salisbury 23/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 74 · 1m1f201y Gd 134 · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 74 par23/055OR 744 @ Chester 30/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 78 · 1m2f70y Gd 131 · below its mark30/05/2026 · OR 78 par3 @ York 13/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 78 · 1m3f188y Goo 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 78 par13/063OR 784 @ Lingfield 27/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 77 · 1m1f Goo 127 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 77 par4 @ Salisbury 11/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 77 · 1m1f201y GF 127 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 77 par11/074OR 775 @ Beverley 29/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 75 · 1m4f23y Sft 133 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 75 par5 @ Epsom Downs 10/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 74 · 1m113y Goo 134 · below its mark10/09/2026 · OR 74 par10/095OR 74projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Epsom Downs58th9th−1
2026-08-29Beverley54th5th−1
2026-07-11Salisbury44th4th0
2026-06-27Lingfield42nd2nd0
2026-06-13York34th3rd+1
2026-05-30Chester410th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0330/0511/0710/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength16%

Delivery trend -2.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/03/20269th11/142%0%-0.42
28/04/20262nd15/261%80%+0.19
23/05/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
30/05/202610th4/179%0%-0.79
13/06/20264th11/271%63%-0.09
27/06/20262nd13/266%75%+0.09
11/07/20264th6/168%25%-0.43
29/08/20264th11/142%57%+0.15
10/09/20268th9/488%22%-0.66