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6

Spirit Genie

6yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 80

Chester · Destination2 Selling Stakes · 1m 2f 70y

#7

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Capitalised on a drop in grade when winning a handicap at Pontefract over 1m in August. Shaped as if still in form when fifth of 17 upped to this trip at Doncaster 8 days ago but didn't fully see the trip out, so stamina is the main concern with him back on softer ground here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength30%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Chester 03/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 84 · 7f127y Goo 130 · beat its mark03/08/2025 · OR 84 par3/084OR 844 @ Ascot 05/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 82 · 1m Sft 151 · beat its mark05/09/2025 · OR 82 par4 @ Chester 12/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 82 · 7f1y Goo 137 · beat its mark12/09/2025 · OR 82 par12/094OR 824 @ Chester 20/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 81 · 7f127y Sft 133 · beat its mark20/09/2025 · OR 81 par4 @ York 15/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 22 · OR 80 · 7f Gd 135 · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 80 par15/054OR 804 @ Chester 12/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 79 · 7f1y GS 155 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 79 par4 @ York 27/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 77 · 1m2f56y Goo 153 · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 77 par27/064OR 775 @ Pontefract 05/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 75 · 1m6y Goo 135 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 75 par4 @ Doncaster 11/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 17 · OR 80 · 1m2f43y Goo 142 · beat its mark11/09/2026 · OR 80 par11/094OR 80projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Doncaster45th5th0
2026-08-05Pontefract51st2nd−1
2026-06-27York412th12th0
2026-06-12Chester48th8th0
2026-05-15York47th7th0
2025-09-20Chester43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0820/0927/0611/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/08/20254th11/271%67%-0.04
05/09/20254th11/142%67%+0.25
12/09/20254th11/271%67%-0.04
20/09/20253rd11/486%71%-0.14
15/05/20267th40/10%71%+0.71
12/06/20268th15/261%30%-0.31
27/06/202612th28/10%15%+0.15
05/08/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
11/09/20265th28/10%75%+0.75