8
Amazonian Dream
7yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 76
Chester · Kidsbank Chester Handicap · 6f 17y
#9
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength48%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Windsor | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Windsor | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Windsor | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-20 | Windsor | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Windsor | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Windsor | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength32%
Delivery trend -4.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 20/05/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 56% | +0.00 |
| 15/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 29/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 13/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 91% | +0.09 |
| 20/07/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 27/07/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |