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11

Miraculous

4yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 74

Chester · Kidsbank Chester Handicap · 6f 17y

#3

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

14%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner who also capitalised on falling mark at Southwell in August. Backed that up when runner-up next time out but his effort at Doncaster 6 days ago wasn't encouraging.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength36%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ York 23/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 20 · OR 77 · 6f Goo 132 · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 77 par23/054OR 773 @ Chester 13/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 76 · 6f17y Goo 117 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 76 par2 @ Ripon 18/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 76 · 6f Goo 116 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 76 par18/062OR 763 @ Doncaster 03/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 74 · 5f3y GF 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 74 par4 @ Chester 25/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 71 · 5f15y Goo 127 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 71 par25/074OR 715 @ Southwell 06/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 69 · 6f17y Std 134 · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 69 par4 @ Hamilton 21/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 74 · 6f6y GS 134 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 74 par21/084OR 745 @ Southwell 27/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 74 · 6f16y Std 139 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 74 par4 @ Doncaster 13/09/2026 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR 74 · 6f2y Gd 131 · below its mark13/09/2026 · OR 74 par13/094OR 74projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Doncaster414th14th0
2026-08-27Southwell54th5th−1
2026-08-21Hamilton42nd2nd0
2026-08-06Southwell51st2nd−1
2026-07-25Chester48th8th0
2026-07-03Doncaster37th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/053/0721/0813/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 7-15 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength9%

Delivery trend -4.3% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/05/20269th28/10%58%+0.58
13/06/20263rd5/174%78%+0.04
18/06/20265th11/271%33%-0.38
03/07/20267th17/255%0%-0.55
25/07/20268th9/153%30%-0.23
06/08/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
21/08/20262nd7/163%89%+0.26
27/08/20264th5/174%70%-0.04
13/09/202614th13/266%13%-0.52