15
Paws For Thought
8yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 67
Chester · Kidsbank Chester Handicap · 6f 17y
#11
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength30%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Chester | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Chester | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Nottingham | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Chester | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Chester | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Catterick | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 11-15 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength3%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 12th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 20/09/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 10/10/2025 | 20th | 33/1 | 0% | 5% | +0.05 |
| 18/10/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 11% | -0.42 |
| 08/05/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 12/06/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 40% | -0.15 |
| 25/06/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/07/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/09/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |