6

Top Juggler
4yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 79
Chester · Kidsbank Chester Handicap · 6f 17y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
26%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength40%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Ripon | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Hamilton | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Chester | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Hamilton | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Hamilton | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-03 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength69%
Delivery trend -5.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 19/09/2025 | 22nd | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 23/10/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 82% | +0.45 |
| 03/11/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 64% | -0.02 |
| 17/05/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 17/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 10/07/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 11/08/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 45% | -0.37 |
| 01/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 78% | +0.25 |