11
Copper Knight
12yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 71
Chester · Halliwell Jones Handicap · 5f 15y
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength38%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Doncaster | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-06 | York | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Newcastle | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Chester | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Chester | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Thirsk | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 10-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 04/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 14/05/2026 | 18th | 28/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 31/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 13/06/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 25/07/2026 | 10th | 5/1 | 74% | 10% | -0.64 |
| 20/08/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 06/09/2026 | 13th | 11/1 | 42% | 40% | -0.02 |
| 13/09/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 22% | -0.20 |