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Dream Composer

8yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 83

Chester · Halliwell Jones Handicap · 5f 15y

#9

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Already a dual scorer for current yard this season, showing a good attitude at Windsor for latter win in June. Back to best when creditable fourth of 16 there (6f, good to firm) last month but only a respectable third of 6 at Goodwood since.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength84%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Chelmsford City 16/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 81 · 6f Std 134 · below its mark16/10/2025 · OR 81 par16/104OR 814 @ Pontefract 20/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 81 · 5f3y Sft 136 · below its mark20/10/2025 · OR 81 par2 @ Ripon 25/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 78 · 5f Goo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 78 par25/042OR 783 @ Goodwood 22/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 83 · 5f Gd 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/05/2026 · OR 83 par2 @ Epsom Downs 06/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 20 · OR 84 · 5f Goo 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 84 par6/062OR 843 @ Windsor 22/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 83 · 5f21y GF 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 83 par4 @ Epsom Downs 01/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 83 · 6f3y Goo 144 · below its mark01/07/2026 · OR 83 par1/074OR 832 @ Windsor 10/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR 84 · 6f12y GF 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/08/2026 · OR 84 par2 @ Goodwood 29/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 84 · 5f Sft 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 84 par29/082OR 84projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Goodwood23rd1st+2
2026-08-10Windsor24th2nd+2
2026-07-01Epsom Downs45th5th0
2026-06-22Windsor31st0th+1
2026-06-06Epsom Downs27th5th+2
2026-05-22Goodwood34th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/1022/051/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength95%

Delivery trend +4.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/10/20258th33/10%13%+0.13
20/10/20259th13/266%27%-0.39
25/04/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
22/05/20264th11/271%67%-0.04
06/06/20267th12/137%68%+0.32
22/06/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
01/07/20265th15/261%33%-0.27
10/08/20264th40/10%80%+0.80
29/08/20263rd10/147%60%+0.13