5

Temple Of Athena

3yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 81

Chester · Halliwell Jones Handicap · 5f 15y

#3

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner on good last September. Cheekpieces on first time, bit below form when fourth of 10 over C&D (soft, 11/1) 8 days ago but this represents a slight drop in grade.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength69%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.6
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.4
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ York 10/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 84 · 5f Gd 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/10/2025 · OR 84 par10/103OR 844 @ Wolverhampton 17/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 84 · 5f21y Std 134 · beat its mark17/03/2026 · OR 84 par1 @ Bath 05/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 89 · 5f10y Goo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/04/2026 · OR 89 par5/041OR 893 @ Chester 06/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 89 · 6f17y Gd 135 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/05/2026 · OR 89 par1 @ York 14/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 88 · 5f Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/05/2026 · OR 88 par14/051OR 882 @ Epsom Downs 05/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR 87 · 5f Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 87 par4 @ Lingfield 06/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 87 · 5f6y Std 139 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 87 par6/074OR 873 @ Beverley 29/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 86 · 5f Sft 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 86 par3 @ Chester 11/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 84 · 5f15y Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/09/2026 · OR 84 par11/093OR 84projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Chester34th3rd+1
2026-08-29Beverley35th4th+1
2026-07-06Lingfield44th4th0
2026-06-05Epsom Downs24th2nd+2
2026-05-14York18th4th+3
2026-05-06Chester310th9th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/106/056/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength52%

Delivery trend -1.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/10/20253rd8/158%80%+0.22
17/03/20261st20/10%100%+1.00
05/04/20267th11/142%54%+0.12
06/05/202610th9/276%18%-0.58
14/05/20268th66/10%22%+0.22
05/06/20264th16/116%80%+0.64
06/07/20264th11/271%63%-0.09
29/08/20265th16/116%50%+0.34
11/09/20264th11/142%67%+0.25