Blue Prince
5yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 84
Chester · Style Joinery Handicap · 7f 1y
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Chester | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | Kempton | 2 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-08-22 | Chester | 2 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-08-02 | Chester | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Salisbury | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-02 | Kempton | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 85% | +0.32 |
| 07/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 14/06/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 02/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 21/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |
| 02/08/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 22/08/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 05/09/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 11/09/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 82% | +0.03 |