8
Diligent Resdev
5yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 78
Chester · Style Joinery Handicap · 7f 1y
#9
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Southwell | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Doncaster | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Beverley | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Haydock | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-08-07 | Sandown | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-06-14 | York | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 10-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 10/05/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 26/05/2025 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 71% | -0.22 |
| 14/06/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 07/08/2025 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 17% | -0.73 |
| 09/05/2026 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 11% | -0.65 |
| 30/05/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 20/06/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 03/09/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 55% | -0.14 |