2

Divine Libra

6yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 85

Chester · Style Joinery Handicap · 7f 1y

#4

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner at the 2024 May meeting but has drawn a blank in 18 starts since. Below par again at Southwell 5 weeks ago and it's likely best to look elsewhere.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength67%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Ascot 11/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 93 · 6f GF 140 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/07/2025 · OR 93 par11/073OR 931 @ Chester 03/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 91 · 6f17y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/08/2025 · OR 91 parC1 @ ParisLongchamp 14/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 95 · 6f211y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/09/2025 · OR 95 par14/09C1OR 952 @ Kempton 01/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 94 · 6f Sta 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/10/2025 · OR 94 par2 @ Newmarket 15/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 94 · 6f Gd 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/04/2026 · OR 94 par15/042OR 942 @ Chester 06/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 93 · 7f127y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/05/2026 · OR 93 par2 @ Newmarket 04/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 91 · 7f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 91 par4/072OR 913 @ Goodwood 29/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 20 · OR 89 · 7f Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 89 par3 @ Southwell 16/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 87 · 7f14y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/08/2026 · OR 87 par16/083OR 87projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16Southwell39th8th+1
2026-07-29Goodwood311th10th+1
2026-07-04Newmarket25th3rd+2
2026-05-06Chester28th6th+2
2026-04-15Newmarket28th6th+2
2025-10-01Kempton22nd0th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/071/104/0716/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength56%

Delivery trend +1.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/07/20255th9/276%67%-0.10
03/08/20254th10/147%63%+0.15
14/09/20256th22/10%29%+0.29
01/10/20252nd12/137%80%+0.43
15/04/20268th14/126%42%+0.15
06/05/20268th16/116%42%+0.26
04/07/20265th12/137%56%+0.19
29/07/202611th18/15%47%+0.42
16/08/20269th14/126%33%+0.07