King Of Thunder
3yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 83
Chester · Style Joinery Handicap · 7f 1y
#1
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
97%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Chester | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | Haydock | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-07 | Chester | 2 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-10-17 | Haydock | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Newbury | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-09-03 | Kempton | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +13.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 03/09/2025 | 6th | 13/8 | 91% | 55% | -0.37 |
| 20/09/2025 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 8% | -0.07 |
| 17/10/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 07/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |
| 05/09/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 70% | +0.54 |
| 11/09/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |