IvyArcIvyArc
10

Kindly Queen

3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 62

Chester · Lord Mayor's Spooktacular Fireworks Apprentice Handicap · 1m 6f 87y

#8

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Maiden. Second in a handicap for Ralph Beckett in May but no obvious promise in 2 outings for current yard.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength36%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 17/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 1m2f219y Sta 128 · HIGHER CLASS17/1243 @ Wolverhampton 16/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 1m1f104y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Lingfield 14/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 1m2f Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS14/0236 @ Kempton 30/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 65 · 1m3f219y Sta 135 · beat its mark30/03/2026 · OR 65 par5 @ Windsor 11/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 65 · 1m3f99y Goo 120 · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 65 par11/055OR 654 @ Newbury 11/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 68 · 1m4f GS 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Windsor 27/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 66 · 1m3f99y GF 132 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 66 par27/065OR 665 @ Chester 25/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 65 · 1m4f63y Goo 129 · below its mark25/07/2026 · OR 65 par5 @ Hamilton 02/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 63 · 1m5f16y Sft 127 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 63 par2/095OR 63projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Hamilton57th7th0
2026-07-25Chester59th9th0
2026-06-27Windsor53rd3rd0
2026-06-11Newbury45th4th+1
2026-05-11Windsor52nd2nd0
2026-03-30Kempton64th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/1230/0327/062/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength10%

Delivery trend +0.3% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/12/20254th20/10%25%+0.25
16/01/20263rd6/168%50%-0.18
14/02/20263rd18/15%50%+0.45
30/03/20264th3/184%70%-0.14
11/05/20262nd17/255%89%+0.34
11/06/20265th8/158%33%-0.25
27/06/20263rd9/276%50%-0.26
25/07/20269th66/10%11%+0.11
02/09/20267th80/10%45%+0.45