Talka
3yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 71
Chester · Lord Mayor's Spooktacular Fireworks Apprentice Handicap · 1m 6f 87y
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Dieppe | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Dieppe | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -19.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 63% | -0.09 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |