6

Wiltshire Wonder
6yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 69
Chester · Lord Mayor's Spooktacular Fireworks Apprentice Handicap · 1m 6f 87y
#9
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength51%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Lingfield | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Chester | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-10-06 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-09-23 | Southwell | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-01-17 | Southwell | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2024-12-20 | Southwell | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/2024 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 08/10/2024 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 30/10/2024 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |
| 20/12/2024 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 17/01/2025 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 11% | -0.57 |
| 23/09/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 06/10/2025 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 03/09/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |