6

Wiltshire Wonder

6yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 69

Chester · Lord Mayor's Spooktacular Fireworks Apprentice Handicap · 1m 6f 87y

#9

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won twice at Southwell in 2024 (including off a higher mark) but made the track only twice last season and hasn't featured in 2 outings for current yard. Headgear goes on. Best watched unless the betting speaks in his favour.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength51%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Beverley 18/09/2024 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m1f207y Goo 13518/0955 @ Southwell 08/10/2024 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 73 · 1m4f14y Std 143 · beat its mark08/10/2024 · OR 73 par4 @ Kempton 30/10/2024 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 77 · 1m3f219y Sta 137 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/10/2024 · OR 77 par30/104OR 774 @ Southwell 20/12/2024 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 77 · 1m4f14y Std 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/12/2024 · OR 77 par4 @ Southwell 17/01/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 79 · 1m4f14y Std 134 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/01/2025 · OR 79 par17/014OR 794 @ Southwell 23/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 79 · 1m6f21y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/09/2025 · OR 79 par4 @ Wolverhampton 06/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 78 · 1m4f51y Std 140 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/10/2025 · OR 78 par6/104OR 784 @ Chester 13/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 75 · 1m4f63y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 75 par5 @ Lingfield 03/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 73 · 1m4f Std 135 · below its mark03/09/2026 · OR 73 par3/095OR 73projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Lingfield56th6th0
2026-06-13Chester45th4th+1
2025-10-06Wolverhampton410th9th+1
2025-09-23Southwell45th4th+1
2025-01-17Southwell49th8th+1
2024-12-20Southwell41st0th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0920/126/103/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -2.3% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/09/20244th17/255%50%-0.05
08/10/20241st15/261%100%+0.39
30/10/20246th8/158%29%-0.29
20/12/20241st14/126%100%+0.74
17/01/20259th6/168%11%-0.57
23/09/20255th16/116%60%+0.44
06/10/202510th10/147%0%-0.47
13/06/20265th66/10%43%+0.43
03/09/20266th14/126%0%-0.26